Half a million homeowners could face a £369 mortgage hit if the Bank of England hikes rates to 4 per cent


The Bank of England is all but certain to raise its base rate from 3.75 per cent to 4 per cent at Thursday's Monetary Policy Committee meeting — the first hike since August 2023. The trigger is CPI inflation climbing to 3.5 per cent in September, its highest in 11 months, with energy costs driven by Middle East tensions pushing prices further upward. Ofgem's price cap is projected to climb around 25 per cent in January, threatening a second wave of household pain.
The 510,000 tracker-mortgage holders face an extra £30.72 a month; a further 470,000 on standard variable rates may feel the impact too if lenders choose to pass the rise on.
Barclays chief UK economist Jack Meaning warned that holding rates 'risks unsettling expectations and undermining confidence in the Bank.'
Average five-year fixed mortgage rates have already hit 6 per cent for the first time in three years, squeezing borrowers before the MPC has even voted.
