'He's in trouble': Republican senators fear Trump will lose his sway as the GOP braces for a Democratic midterm wipeout
Donald Trump, who has held 25 rallies since early October, now faces warnings of a West Wing "bloodbath" if Republicans lose the Senate on Tuesday.
Pollster Nate Silver has raised his estimate of Democrats seizing the Senate to 79 percent, while prediction market data from Kalshi puts their House chances at 92 percent, with Trump's approval at a historic low of 30 percent — a figure no sitting president has matched heading into midterms since Harry Truman in 1946. Fifteen Republican lawmakers expect Trump's political capital to evaporate if Democrats retake Congress on Tuesday.
One GOP senator put it bluntly: 'He's in trouble' — adding that Republican candidates have distanced themselves from Trump over his costly Iran war.
Cook Political Report's Jessica Taylor singled out Kansas Senator Roger Marshall as deserving 'the award for running maybe the worst campaign', saying he had no staff or consultants until weeks ago.
Republican campaigns are sending Trump a stream of rosy updates to win his time, with one GOP operative admitting hopeful spin makes a better pitch than 'you're-my-only-hope desperation.'