'He's in trouble': Republican senators fear Trump will lose his sway as the GOP braces for a Democratic midterm wipeout
Donald Trump, who has held 25 rallies since early October, now faces warnings of a West Wing "bloodbath" if Republicans lose the Senate on Tuesday.
Election analyst Allan Lichtman, who has correctly called nine of the last eleven presidential races, predicts Democrats will sweep both chambers on Tuesday, warning that Trump's 30 percent approval rating historically signals losses of around 40 House and six Senate seats. Polling averages show Democrats holding an eight-to-ten point lead nationally, with prediction markets giving them a 92 percent chance of retaking the House and a 70 percent chance of flipping the Senate.
Nate Silver has raised his Senate forecast to a 79 percent Democratic probability, though he cautions that Democratic leads in Texas, Ohio, Alaska and Maine sit 'a normal-sized polling error away from flipping.'
Republican campaigns are sending Trump streams of upbeat early-vote data to win his attention, with one GOP operative admitting hopeful spin makes a better pitch than 'you're-my-only-hope desperation.'
Cook Political Report's Jessica Taylor named Kansas Senator Roger Marshall the winner of 'the worst campaign' award, saying he had 'no staff or consultants' until weeks ago despite NRSC warnings.
