UK economy beats forecasts with surprise 0.1% August growth, giving Healey a pre-Budget boost two weeks out


Britain's economy expanded 0.1% in August, wrong-footing economists who had pencilled in a 0.1% contraction, the Office for National Statistics confirmed — making it the final GDP reading before Chancellor John Healey presents his Autumn Budget on October 28. Factory output rose 0.8%, its sharpest increase in nine months, while manufacturing climbed 1.2%, preventing a flat services sector and a fourth straight monthly decline in construction from dragging the headline figure negative. Year-on-year GDP growth reached 2.1%, the best such reading since August 2022, and sterling gained 0.4% on the dollar following the release.
Growth decelerated markedly from 0.4% in July, and analysts caution that Healey's fiscal headroom is limited given climbing debt costs and an anticipated Bank of England rate rise in November.
Consumer-facing services contracted 0.3% as soaring energy bills weighed on household spending, with food, drink and recreation among the sectors recording the steepest falls.
Healey described the figures as 'welcome news', citing the IMF's upward revision to UK growth forecasts and asserting that Britain will have 'the lowest deficit in the G7' by 2029.
