Mega-poll gives Burnham a 56-seat majority as Reform falls behind Tories in Labour's stunning revival

A new Electoral Calculus MRP poll puts Labour on 353 seats — up from a projected collapse to just 86 MPs under Keir Starmer in April — handing Andy Burnham a 56-seat Commons majority and fuelling growing Westminster speculation over a snap election. The Tories would finish second on 90 seats, with Reform pushed into third on 81, as Labour's vote share surges from 17 per cent to 28 per cent. The "Burnham bounce" has also crushed the Greens, projected to slump from 71 seats to just four as their Corbynite civil war intensifies. Scotland's Deputy First Minister has separately called for an early Westminster election, adding to pressure on Burnham to go to the country.

Burnham is expected by many in Westminster to call a general election as early as December, despite insisting he will wait until 2029.

The Green Party is descending into internal crisis after hard-left activists pushed through a motion that 'Zionism is racism', with leader Zack Polanski said to be on resignation watch.

TUC general secretary Paul Nowak told broadcasters Burnham could trigger a shock snap election once his 10-year plan is published later this autumn.