Reform slips to third behind the Tories while Labour surges to its biggest poll lead since the 2024 election
Nigel Farage's Reform UK has fallen to 20% in the latest Ipsos poll, down three points in a month and behind both Labour on 32% and the Conservatives on 24%.Electoral Calculus says the figures would hand Andy Burnham a 134-seat majority, as Reform loses 15% of its 2024 voters to the Tories, up from 6% last month.
Ipsos puts Andy Burnham's Labour on 32%, the Tories on 24% and Nigel Farage's Reform UK down three points on 20%. Electoral Calculus says that would hand Labour a 134-seat majority. Kemi Badenoch has hit her best satisfaction rating as Tory leader at 35%. Ipsos's Keiran Pedley warns that politics is 'volatile' ahead of John Healey's Budget this week.
A year ago Reform was 12 points clear on 34%; it now trails Labour by 12.
Robert Jenrick insists Reform remains 'clearly the main opposition to Labour'.
Pedley says the 'tectonic plates' on the right have shifted towards the Tories.
