Texas Latino voters who backed Trump in 2024 swing towards Democrats over ICE raids and grocery prices

A poll taken October 15 to 19 puts Democrat James Talarico 30 points ahead of Republican Ken Paxton among Hispanic voters in the Texas Senate race, 64 per cent to 34. The overall contest is tied at 49 per cent each, with Election Day less than two weeks away. Governor Greg Abbott's mid-decade redraw targeted five congressional districts, four of them majority Hispanic. A Republican-held Rio Grande Valley seat is now leaning Democrat.

Hispanic Texans backed Joe Biden by 25 points in 2020, then Trump by one.

Texas accounted for roughly a third of all ICE arrests nationwide in July 2026.

Republican strategist Mike Madrid calls Latinos 'the largest swing vote in America'.