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US economy grows at 3.4% pace in third quarter, beating forecasts days before midterms despite stubborn inflation

Donald Trump has seen AI investment emerge as a key driver behind the US economy's stronger-than-expected 3.4% third-quarter growth.
Donald Trump has seen AI investment emerge as a key driver behind the US economy's stronger-than-expected 3.4% third-quarter growth.
A data graphic showing the US economy's third-quarter performance, as business investment jumped 12.7% — its strongest contribution to growth in the period.
A data graphic showing the US economy's third-quarter performance, as business investment jumped 12.7% — its strongest contribution to growth in the period.

The Commerce Department's advance estimate, released Thursday, showed the US economy expanded at a 3.4% annualised rate from July through September — the fastest growth in nearly three years and well above the 3% forecasters had projected. Consumer spending surged 3.8% while business investment jumped 12.7%, driven largely by an AI-spending boom that saw outlays on information processing equipment leap 37.4%. The figures land just days before midterm elections in which inflation and rising energy costs have hammered Republican poll ratings.

Inflation remains a cloud: the Fed's preferred PCE gauge rose 3.6% year-on-year in September, accelerating from 3.4% in August.

At its Wednesday meeting, the Fed left interest rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00%, pausing after its September hike as officials await further data.

Housing investment fell 3.3%, its sixth decline in seven quarters, with high mortgage rates continuing to squeeze the property market.

MoreDaily MailBoost for Trump as America's economy roars back and GDP surgesThe IndependentUS economy grew at brisk 3.4% pace in third quarter on strong consumer spending and AI investmentThe IndependentThe US economy grew at a faster 3.4% pace from July through September, lifted by consumer spending and AI investmentThe HillUS GDP grew by 3.4 percent in third quarter amid AI investment boomAPUS economy grows at brisk 3.4% pace in third quarter on strong consumer spending and AI investmentReutersUS economic growth accelerates in third quarterWashington TimesU.S. economy grew faster over the summer, as consumers keep spending despite high pricesBenzingaUS Economy Grew 3.4% in the Third Quarter, Fed's Favorite Inflation Gauge Matches Forecasts - BenzingaBarron'sU.S. Economy Grows by 3.4% in Third Quarter as AI Spending Surges - Barron'sFirstpostUS GDP growth accelerates to 3.4% in Q3 2026 as consumer spending, investment rise - FirstpostWSLSUS economy grows at brisk 3.4% pace in third quarter on strong consumer spending and AI investment - WSLS
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