US inflation heats up to 3.6% days before the midterms as gas averages $4.25 despite Trump's $2 pledge

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, accelerated to 3.6% in September — up from 3.4% in August — with monthly prices climbing 0.5%, the sharpest monthly rise since May. The Iran war has pushed oil above $100 a barrel, driving petrol to a national average of $4.25 a gallon, more than double Trump's 2024 campaign pledge to cut it below $2. Economists warn that price pressures are broadening beyond fuel into services including shipping, hotels and utilities.
Core inflation also crept higher, rising to 3.1% year-on-year in September from 3% in August.
TD economist Ksenia Bushmeneva warned: 'The inflation outlook has become more concerning — underlying pressures are broadening.'
Polls show most voters now give Trump poor marks on the economy, making cost of living the central issue heading into next week's midterms.
